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Red Sox Free Agent Spending: It’s the tax threshold, stupid!

Bear in mind November? That month after we breathed a giant sigh of reduction when Yankees didn’t win the World Series, all whereas watching a workforce that spent almost double what the Red Sox did hoist their second World Collection trophy in 5 years? Later that month, do you recall Sam Kennedy declare that the Purple Sox had been right here to play this offseason? What a fond reminiscence that was!

Since then, the Dodgers have dedicated almost half a billion {dollars} to their 40-man roster. The Purple Sox, however, have spent simply $74 million in that period of time, a lot of it on gamers with an uncertain path to a healthy 2025 and beyond (albeit, gamers with upside if all goes in line with probably the most optimistic of plans). It’s been crushed to demise, certain, however take one other look the full quote from Kennedy:

“Even when it takes us over the CBT,” mentioned Kennedy on the house owners conferences, “our precedence is 90 to 95 wins, and successful the American League East, and successful the division for a number of years.”

The CBT, for these unfamiliar, begins at $241 million, whereas the extra onerous penalties that influence a workforce’s draft picks don’t kick in till a workforce hits the $281 million mark. The Dodgers are spending $301 million on their lively roster; that’s not even counting successful the Roki Sasaki sweepstakes. The Purple Sox, in the meantime, are literally spending $30 million much less than they did final season, and there are nonetheless query marks about second base, catcher, the bullpen, and the righty-lefty steadiness of the lineup. Now, we are able to argue about how large these query marks really are, but in addition think about this quote on Alex Bregman that Kennedy, um, provided up earlier within the week:

“I’m not allowed to speak about any particular free agent negotiations or something,” Kennedy mentioned, “however provided that he’s unsigned, I feel that speaks for itself.”

Let or not it’s recognized that I personally am of the notion that Alex Bregman might not enhance this workforce sufficient for a way a lot he might value, no matter his prior contributions to the Astros (let’s go away the 2017 jokes out…. for now. After he indicators elsewhere, free recreation.) The Purple Sox, for an additional 12 months, appear to be punting, although much less so than the speedy previous. However given what was mentioned earlier within the offseason concerning a dedication to extra spending, what the hell might that quote on Bregman imply, Sam? Let’s hypothesize:

  1. The Purple Sox and Bregman haven’t meaningfully engaged in contract negotiations.
  2. The Purple Sox and Bregman have talked, however Bregman prices greater than the Purple Sox are prepared to spend.
  3. The Purple Sox and Bregman have talked, however given the state of the Purple Sox farm system, spearheaded by Marcelo Mayer and Kristian Campbell, who play the identical positions that Alex Bregman may be enjoying in 2025, the Sox simply aren’t that .
  4. Whether or not or not Alex Bregman and the Purple Sox have conversed, there aren’t many different workforce curious about Alex Bregman.

The entire above prospects have one shared consequence: that quote is made to piss Alex Bregman off. Which is okay, in a vacuum, however moreso high-quality if there’s no plan to signal Bregman and the third of these 4 choices is the shared organizational hope.

Another quote, maybe probably the most maddening of all, from that very same interview earlier within the week with Cotillo:

“The strategy Bres (Craig Breslow) took was one among excessive aggression, excessive urgency. That doesn’t imply you’re going to finish up signing each single free agent you have interaction with or full trades that you simply embark on. It has been nice to see the aggressive strategy and the sense of urgency inside baseball operations to enhance.

Now, provided that quote earlier within the offseason, if that doesn’t sound like a comfort, I don’t know what does!

Let me state this: regardless of the dearth of spending, that is nonetheless one of the best offseason the Purple Sox have had since Dave Dombrowski was in cost. Craig Breslow (who I’ll by no means name Bres as a result of, WOW, that rambunctious identify doesn’t match his persona) has moved extra aggressively and put up elements of that thriving farm that could be seen as extra (save for Kyle Teel, which I’m nonetheless scratching my head about, however I digress.) However when this workforce spends much less cash on free brokers than they did on a 81-win workforce, whereas remaining stating publicly that they’re aiming for a 90-95 win season, they higher be rattling certain that the younger, rising items who survived the offseason will probably be acting at a giant league stage in a short time. Or else we could also be having precisely this dialog subsequent 12 months…. or worse, even sooner.

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